Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.134395 0.159023 0.186538 0.219506 0.257883 0.301096 0.353389
2025-01-19 0.093686 0.124655 0.163128 0.214219 0.280048 0.361751 0.470556
2025-01-26 0.073799 0.107763 0.153628 0.219606 0.311512 0.434329 0.610088
2025-02-02 0.060095 0.094914 0.145342 0.222870 0.338021 0.501458 0.749357
2025-02-09 0.049745 0.084209 0.137286 0.223756 0.359517 0.562429 0.885853
2025-02-16 0.042412 0.076425 0.131778 0.226731 0.383307 0.628202 1.035821
2025-02-23 0.037661 0.071819 0.130242 0.235209 0.416034 0.710457 1.219580
2025-03-02 0.031370 0.063264 0.120547 0.228226 0.421774 0.749395 1.337105
2025-03-09 0.027261 0.057895 0.115451 0.228220 0.438911 0.808330 1.493333
2025-03-16 0.023441 0.052348 0.109073 0.224735 0.448980 0.855568 1.633549
2025-03-23 0.021208 0.049592 0.107548 0.230079 0.475725 0.934758 1.838180
2025-03-30 0.018665 0.045699 0.103124 0.228963 0.489703 0.991582 2.006919
2025-04-06 0.016043 0.041207 0.096898 0.223546 0.495017 1.033646 2.154410
2025-04-13 0.013720 0.036966 0.090553 0.216967 0.497143 1.069820 2.294626
2025-04-20 0.012543 0.035278 0.089637 0.222135 0.524634 1.159414 2.550325
2025-04-27 0.011384 0.033408 0.087992 0.225367 0.548210 1.243224 2.802290
2025-05-04 0.010235 0.031332 0.085511 0.226247 0.566529 1.317656 3.041666
2025-05-11 0.009334 0.029753 0.084008 0.229249 0.590029 1.405478 3.318023
2025-05-18 0.008784 0.029073 0.084704 0.237814 0.627675 1.528136 3.682118
2025-05-25 0.007635 0.026371 0.079603 0.230759 0.626493 1.562931 3.852817
2025-06-01 0.006900 0.024789 0.077304 0.230752 0.642807 1.639582 4.126157
2025-06-08 0.006130 0.022925 0.073899 0.227231 0.649667 1.694503 4.353811
2025-06-15 0.005728 0.022203 0.073699 0.232631 0.680487 1.809995 4.735780